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Dubai Real Estate Market Update – September 2025

Record Sales, Slower Price Growth & a Strong Off-Plan Boom: What Investors Must Know

Dubai’s real estate market continued to show exceptional strength in September 2025, closing the month with record-high sales transactions, moderated yet healthy price growth, and a powerful surge in off-plan activity. For investors, end-users, and global buyers, the message is clear: Dubai remains one of the world’s most resilient and attractive property markets.

At Ridhira Realty LLC, we break down the latest market intelligence to help you make confident, data-led investment decisions.

1. Market at a Glance — September 2025

  • Property prices up 1.0% MoM (after August’s 2.4% surge)
  • AED 1,681 per sq ft – new average price (DPI)
  • 20,309 total sales — the 2nd highest month ever recorded
  • Off-plan holds 75.7% true market share
  • 117,000+ units launched YTD (up 43% YoY)
  • Mortgage activity dips 17% but expected to rebound after rate cuts

This shows the market is expanding at a stable, sustainable pace — growing with maturity rather than overheating.

2. Prices Continue to Rise — But at a Healthy, Sustainable Pace

Dubai’s price growth remained positive at +1.0% MoM, pushing the market:

  • 106% above the 2020 trough
  • 36% above the 2014 peak

Stability is supported by strong population inflows, investor confidence, government-backed economic growth, and global capital migration.

3. Record Transaction Volumes — Demand Remains Unshaken

September recorded 20,309 transactions, an 8.9% increase from August — the highest September ever and the second-highest month in Dubai’s history. 2025 is on track to cross 210,000+ total transactions, marking the third consecutive record-breaking year.

4. Off-Plan Is Dominating the Market — 75%+ Share

  • 14,371 off-plan sales in September
  • 75.7% true market share (after Oqood vs Title Deed adjustments)
  • 117,000+ units launched YTD

Top-performing developers (September 2025):

  1. Binghatti – 20.4% market share
  2. DAMAC Properties – 11.8%
  3. Emaar – 6.4%

Popular communities: Jumeirah Village Circle, Dubai Science Park, Business Bay. Developers attract investors through flexible payment plans, post-handover schemes, attractive entry prices, and high ROI forecasts.

5. New Launches Are Surging — 117,000+ Units YTD

  • 460+ new projects launched in 2025
  • 117,000 units added YTD
  • 62 new launches in September alone
  • Valued at AED 38.6 billion

Apartments dominate supply with an 88% share, reflecting investor preference for compact, high-ROI units. Absorption is softening for some mid-tier apartment projects — a sign of market maturation.

6. Mortgage Activity Drops — But Will Recover

Mortgage registrations fell 17.2% MoM due to bulk buyers postponing financing and buyers waiting for interest rate cuts.

  • 25 bps rate cut already implemented
  • More rate cuts expected before year-end

Rate cuts will support end-user buying, refinancing, and bulk investor purchases — expect mortgage activity to rebound in Q4 2025.

7. What Price Segments Are Growing?

  • Biggest Gainer: AED 500K–750K — up 1.5% (mid-segment apartments in JVC & Dubai Production City)
  • Next Growing Tier: AED 1M–1.5M — up 1.3% (Business Bay, Dubai Science Park, DAMAC Riverside)
  • Softening Tier: AED 1.5M–2M — down 2.2% due to increased supply and buyer shift to value categories

8. Resale Market Stabilizing — Developers Dominate New Sales

Resale transactions hold a 25.6% market share and are relatively stable. However, developers now drive the bulk of activity through aggressive launches, incentives, and flexible plans, putting pressure on resellers pricing above original launch rates.

9. What This Means for Investors

  • Capitalize on Off-Plan Momentum: Off-plan offers appreciation, ROI, entry pricing, and liquidity — with 1% monthly and post-handover plans common.
  • End Users: Watch for mortgage-friendly opportunities as rate cuts improve affordability.
  • Resale Buyers: Negotiate smartly — competition from developers creates room for negotiation.
  • High-ROI Areas to Watch: JVC, Dubai Science Park, Business Bay, Dubai Creek Harbour, DAMAC Riverside.

Final Take: Dubai Enters a Mature, Balanced Growth Phase

Dubai’s real estate market is stabilizing into predictable, sustainable growth — underpinned by record population growth, global investor interest, lifestyle and tax advantages, government-driven urban expansion, and a strong mega-project pipeline. 2025 is shaping up to be another extraordinary year; the smartest investors position themselves ahead of the next wave of price increases.

Looking to Invest in Dubai or Ras Al Khaimah?

At Ridhira Realty LLC, we help global buyers make confident, research-backed decisions using real-time market intelligence. Speak to our expert advisors today.

Contact Ridhira Realty LLC
📞 +971-561705995
🌐 www.ridhirarealty.com

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